Friday, September 30, 2011

Brock Lesnar is not an easy prey for Aistair Overeem

Brock Lesnar doing his thing
Zuffa have a pleasant gift for all the MMA fans out there - UFC 141 features a main event bout between Strikeforce's former champion Alistair Oereem and the former UFC champion Brock Lesnar. A fantasy matchup that the fans have demanded and now have it given to them. Good job, Dana!

You know that I'm the last person on Earth to make predictions. With that said, I feel that Brock Lesnar is going to beat Overeem.

I just watched Brock's newest "I'm back after the surgery" video (the one where he shot an innocent buck deer) and to me Brock looked super fucking depressed, mentally beat up and almost... hmmm...  crazy?
His mumbling about still being the baddest man on the planet didn't look scripted to me. It looked like Brock really had lost his mind.
It's not a surprise after the horrible experience he had gone through - the guy just lost 30 centimeters of his colon bowel, so he most probably is not in a good physical shape either.
Add to this the fact that Brock Lesnar is considered to be an one-trick pony, a newbie and a learner of the game of MMA, a glass-hearted gold digger and a Zuffa cash cow who is afraid to get punched in the face, and you may start to think that he'd be an easy prey for Alistair Overeem.
I mean, Overeem is that unstoppable Dutch striker, he is the Strikeforce champion and the K-1 GP winner, so Lesnar has no chance against him, right?

Let me explain why you punks are all Wrong.

It's very easy - this fight is a super bad matchup for Overeem.
Lesnar may not have a whole lot of diverse tools and weapons in his arsenal, but the guy has the only thing that is required to beat Overeem: Wrestling - the skill that so many MMA fans fail to understand is the single most important martial art in the whole game.
I know what people are going to reply to this and I kind of sorta agree with that: Lesnar's wrestling is a tad overrated. Maybe it is!
But no matter how mediocre Brock's wrestling has become, it is still *WAY* better than the wrestling skills of the fighters Overeem's been fighting so far. Brock has scored a takedown in every single one of his fights. Including against a top wrestler in Cain Velasquez.
So you can forget about Overeem stuffing Bock's takedowns. Lesnar is not Werdum - he simply takes people down at will, and when he takes them down, he fucking runs through them. His top control and the pressure he applies on a grounded opponent are hard to overcome. Plus I am pretty sure that 90% of Lesnar's training camp will be focused on taking Overeem down and mauling him from the top position.

In  other words, I am pretty sure that Overeem is going to be taken down by Lesnar.
I'm tired of listening to all those claims about how good Overeem's ground game is. The Reem's grappling is good, and it is more than OK in the standup - he has submitted quite a few people with a standing guillotine... but great grappling skills from the guard he does not possess.
So what the fuck is The Reem gonna do from the bottom? Triangle Brock?
And let's not forget that Overeem CHOKES in big fights and that he has one of the weakest chins in the HW division. Once Lesnar starts ground and pounding him, I don't see him coming out of this.

So, will Overeem beat a sick, depressed, weak, coming from a 12 month lay off Brock Lesnar?
I wouldn't bet the house on that!
Brock Lesnar by ground and pound KO.